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Red70
669617.1
466214.5
644325.8
Blue35
597010.6
469211.9
448830.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060801001207035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.2
25.526.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End1.4
blue by 4.9
30.80.3
25.625.3
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End3.0
Second
6696
#14
17.11.2
11.012.3
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.8
red by 5.2
4692
#20
11.90.3
7.67.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Third
14.51.2
10.111.3
Auto7.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
red by 3.9
5970
#32
10.60.3
6.66.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed