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Red74
237416.6
95718.5
960012.8
Blue33
273315.1
634312.1
302410.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413702060801001207433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#13
18.51.8
18.420.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 3.4
2733
#12
15.10.2
10.210.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Second
2374
#11
16.61.8
10.312.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 4.5
6343
#26
12.10.2
16.516.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Third
9600
#30
12.81.8
8.210.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.1
red by 2.6
3024
#35
10.20.2
7.57.3
Auto5.9
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed