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Red71
142517.1
469211.9
406018.9
Blue48
703421.9
41274.4
956714.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464002060807148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4060
#21
18.91.0
17.018.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 3.0
7034
#10
21.90.7
18.919.6
Auto10.1
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Second
1425
#17
17.11.0
16.617.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End4.4
red by 2.7
9567
#27
14.40.7
14.315.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Third
4692
#20
11.91.0
7.38.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 7.5
4127
#36
4.40.7
3.94.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed