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Red16
646516.3
68456.8
41274.4
Blue67
634312.1
281129.6
96809.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176704060801001201667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#28
16.30.3
10.39.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 13.2
29.60.8
30.931.7
Auto9.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
Second
6845
#33
6.80.3
6.46.1
Auto5.0
Teleop0.7
End1.1
blue by 5.4
6343
#26
12.10.8
14.515.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Third
4127
#36
4.40.4
4.54.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.0
End0.5
blue by 5.5
9680
#22
9.80.8
8.99.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned