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Red42
299018.3
154027.1
41274.4
Blue61
943019.7
448830.8
302410.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436120801004261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.1
21.221.3
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End4.6
blue by 3.7
30.80.5
26.226.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End3.0
Second
18.30.1
17.017.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 1.4
9430
#15
19.70.5
17.017.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Third
4127
#36
4.40.1
2.82.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.0
End0.5
blue by 5.9
3024
#35
10.20.5
10.010.5
Auto5.9
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed