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Red35
469211.9
26359.9
7538.6
Blue42
237416.6
68456.8
703421.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31470204060803542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#20
11.90.2
10.710.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 10.0
7034
#10
21.90.2
22.522.3
Auto10.1
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Second
2635
#29
9.90.2
10.710.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End2.6
blue by 6.7
2374
#11
16.60.2
11.811.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Third
753
#23
8.60.2
8.89.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.5
red by 1.8
6845
#33
6.80.2
6.15.9
Auto5.0
Teleop0.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed