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Red52
644325.8
26359.9
363612.9
Blue56
36735.9
404333.6
237416.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5151495052535455565256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.4
24.024.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End1.4
blue by 7.8
33.60.7
30.431.0
Auto14.3
Teleop16.8
End2.5
Second
3636
#18
12.90.4
12.112.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 3.8
2374
#11
16.60.7
10.110.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Third
2635
#29
9.90.4
9.910.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End2.6
red by 3.9
3673
#31
5.90.7
5.66.2
Auto1.3
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed