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Red92
252142.2
247124.3
943019.7
Blue43
469211.9
299018.3
36735.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97280204060801201401609243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.7
38.739.4
Auto16.7
Teleop22.8
End2.7
red by 23.9
18.30.3
18.218.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Second
24.30.7
20.521.2
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.9
red by 12.4
4692
#20
11.90.3
9.910.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Third
9430
#15
19.70.7
20.321.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
red by 13.8
3673
#31
5.90.3
5.75.9
Auto1.3
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed