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Red71
99714.8
247124.3
404333.6
Blue34
669617.1
95718.5
237416.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7955020401001201407134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.1
32.332.3
Auto14.3
Teleop16.8
End2.5
red by 15.1
957
#13
18.50.4
18.918.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Second
24.30.1
23.022.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.9
red by 7.2
6696
#14
17.10.4
17.016.6
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Third
997
#24
14.80.1
13.113.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End2.7
blue by 1.8
2374
#11
16.60.4
16.616.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7