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Red57
46928.6
154024.3
237417.9
Blue95
644324.1
142524.1
9579.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59583040507080905795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.0
24.424.4
Auto9.1
Teleop11.9
End3.4
red by 0.2
6443
#13
24.10.7
23.023.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.3
End1.6
Second
17.90.0
18.118.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End0.6
blue by 6.2
24.10.7
22.923.6
Auto14.2
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Third
8.60.0
8.78.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End1.9
blue by 1.2
957
#16
9.80.7
8.79.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7