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Red36
99925.4
252125.7
404328.5
Blue80
546817.3
9976.6
644324.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874601001503680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.53.0
33.130.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.2
End3.2
red by 4.3
6443
#13
24.10.5
27.127.5
Auto8.3
Teleop14.3
End1.6
Second
2521
#21
25.73.0
38.235.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
red by 8.3
5468
#12
17.30.5
15.515.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
9992
#17
5.45.0
5.0-0.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End0.7
blue by 1.2
997
#5
6.60.5
3.64.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned