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Red64
237417.9
99910.7
154024.3
Blue16
252125.7
7494.2
9976.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063020801001201401606416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.7
18.920.7
Auto9.1
Teleop11.9
End3.4
blue by 1.3
2521
#21
25.72.7
41.839.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Second
17.91.7
14.015.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End0.6
red by 11.3
997
#5
6.62.7
7.34.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Third
9991
#20
0.72.9
4.97.8
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.5
End0.3
blue by 3.5
749
#9
4.22.7
5.52.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed