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Red50
13598.5
404328.5
36363.8
Blue52
99925.4
70349.0
237417.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482601001502005052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.3
29.129.4
Auto11.0
Teleop14.2
End3.2
red by 10.5
17.90.9
15.716.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End0.6
Second
1359
#22
8.50.3
8.68.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End2.7
blue by 0.6
7034
#10
9.00.9
8.39.2
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.7
Third
3636
#23
3.80.3
2.62.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End0.0
blue by 1.5
9992
#17
5.41.6
3.85.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned