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Red50
448819.3
404328.5
9554.3
Blue20
70349.0
13598.5
9579.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6426040801001201401605020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.2
29.429.2
Auto11.0
Teleop14.2
End3.2
red by 18.6
957
#16
9.80.5
9.28.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Second
4488
#18
19.30.2
19.519.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.6
red by 10.2
7034
#10
9.00.5
9.28.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.7
Third
955
#15
4.30.2
4.54.3
Auto3.7
Teleop0.0
End0.6
blue by 4.2
1359
#22
8.50.5
8.98.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed