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Qual 52024 FIRST Chance
Red46
27339.2
25505.9
252125.7
Blue15
13598.5
99910.7
9976.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6618040801001201401604615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#21
25.70.9
39.1→38.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
red by 17.2
1359
#22
8.51.0
9.9→8.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End2.7
Second
2733
#14
9.20.9
8.6→7.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End1.8
red by 2.6
997
#5
6.61.0
4.6→3.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Third
2550
#11
5.90.9
6.2→5.3
Auto3.7
Teleop0.7
End1.5
red by 5.2
9991
#20
0.71.6
7.8→6.3
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed