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Red41
448819.3
237417.9
263510.7
Blue40
46928.6
247122.7
36363.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593302040801001201404140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#18
19.30.8
24.323.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.6
blue by 3.4
22.70.5
21.321.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Second
17.90.8
15.815.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End0.6
red by 9.4
8.60.5
7.17.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Third
10.70.8
10.39.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 6.9
3636
#23
3.80.5
4.34.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed