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Red27
95809.5
78117.8
201313.5
Blue49
613511.5
61030.4
965910.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64700501001502749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#13
17.82.1
25.022.9
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
blue by 12.6
610
#4
30.40.9
31.430.4
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
2013
#24
13.52.1
18.616.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End0.3
red by 2.0
6135
#11
11.50.9
15.114.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Third
9580
#16
9.52.1
15.012.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 1.2
9659
#19
10.70.9
16.515.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed