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Red35
55963.6
128518.9
430813.3
Blue43
613511.5
95809.5
697813.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343801002003004005006003543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#22
18.90.2
18.318.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 5.2
6978
#25
13.70.1
14.314.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End0.0
Second
4308
#23
13.30.2
10.510.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 1.8
6135
#11
11.50.1
11.611.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Third
5596
#26
3.60.2
2.93.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 5.9
9580
#16
9.50.1
8.48.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned