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Red48
55963.6
697813.7
316128.0
Blue51
467828.6
752012.5
613511.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48530204060801004851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.1
27.127.0
Auto11.3
Teleop14.9
End1.9
blue by 0.5
28.60.2
23.423.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
Second
6978
#25
13.70.1
14.214.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
12.50.2
12.512.8
Auto6.5
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Third
5596
#26
3.60.1
3.13.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 7.9
6135
#11
11.50.2
11.511.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsMissed