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Red62
697813.7
61030.4
502426.3
Blue52
128518.9
999613.9
583412.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844401001502006252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#4
30.40.3
30.830.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 11.5
1285
#22
18.90.1
19.018.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
26.30.3
26.826.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End1.8
red by 12.4
9996
#12
13.90.1
14.113.9
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.4
Third
6978
#25
13.70.3
14.113.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
5834
#18
12.80.1
12.912.8
Auto7.2
Teleop5.1
End0.4