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Red66
999613.9
583412.8
128518.9
Blue28
906215.6
752012.5
285210.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44433035405055606628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#22
18.90.6
17.317.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 3.3
9062
#15
15.60.5
16.115.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Second
9996
#12
13.90.9
11.512.4
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.4
red by 1.4
12.50.5
13.012.5
Auto6.5
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Third
5834
#18
12.80.6
11.211.8
Auto7.2
Teleop5.1
End0.4
red by 2.7
2852
#20
10.10.5
10.610.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End0.6