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Red89
201313.5
406921.5
316128.0
Blue45
78117.8
613511.5
965910.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7341020601001201401608945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.2
28.028.2
Auto11.3
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 10.2
781
#13
17.80.4
18.217.8
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End0.8
Second
21.50.2
21.521.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End3.0
red by 10.1
6135
#11
11.50.4
11.911.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Third
2013
#24
13.50.2
13.413.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.0
End0.3
red by 2.8
9659
#19
10.70.4
11.110.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.1