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Red43
255915.0
31629.3
549010.7
Blue38
25547.8
437319.2
272016.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4646303540505560654338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
29.30.3
28.628.3
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
red by 10.1
4373
#22
19.20.0
12.212.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Second
15.00.3
10.19.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 1.2
2720
#13
16.20.0
16.916.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Third
5490
#32
10.70.3
6.76.4
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 2.9
2554
#35
7.80.0
8.38.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed