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Red86
48411.5
457515.6
27224.7
Blue74
201620.5
20313.1
549010.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46360204060808674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#2
24.72.4
16.919.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End6.9
red by 4.2
2016
#17
20.52.2
15.717.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.4
End2.3
Second
4575
#16
15.62.4
15.217.5
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 2.5
203
#27
13.12.2
11.513.7
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
484
#19
11.52.4
8.310.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.6
red by 0.7
5490
#32
10.72.2
6.48.6
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed