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Red43
94169.8
272224.3
549010.7
Blue62
622616.8
255915.0
902717.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484601001502004362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.0
23.823.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 6.8
9027
#18
17.51.3
14.716.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
5490
#32
10.70.0
8.58.4
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7
blue by 6.1
16.81.3
15.416.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Third
9416
#24
9.80.0
11.111.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 5.2
15.01.3
11.713.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned