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Red37
901517.5
75877.9
692122.2
Blue46
20313.1
94169.8
457515.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4438102030506070803746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
19.419.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.8
End2.9
red by 6.7
4575
#16
15.60.7
14.214.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Second
9015
#15
17.50.2
13.213.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End0.2
red by 4.4
203
#27
13.10.7
10.711.4
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
7587
#30
7.90.2
6.96.7
Auto6.2
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
blue by 1.9
9416
#24
9.80.7
9.910.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed