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Red63
540122.6
75877.9
457515.6
Blue42
31629.3
25547.8
87145.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47510204060801001201406342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.7
18.419.1
Auto11.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 6.6
316
#12
29.30.4
28.628.2
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Second
4575
#16
15.60.7
16.116.7
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 7.8
2554
#35
7.80.4
10.710.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Third
7587
#30
7.90.7
8.59.1
Auto6.2
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
red by 2.5
8714
#23
5.40.4
6.66.2
Auto3.3
Teleop0.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed