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Red44
549010.7
32117.3
566612.6
Blue51
878.1
437319.2
20313.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473802060801001204451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#29
17.30.2
20.320.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 1.8
4373
#22
19.21.0
14.015.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Second
5666
#33
12.60.2
12.712.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End0.3
blue by 0.4
203
#27
13.11.0
12.913.9
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
5490
#32
10.70.2
8.48.6
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 2.6
87
#31
8.11.7
8.910.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed