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Red80
31629.3
878.1
94169.8
Blue16
164713.4
549010.7
48411.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5837020801008016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
29.30.3
29.228.9
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
red by 15.8
1647
#25
13.41.3
14.913.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Second
9416
#24
9.80.3
10.710.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 1.7
484
#19
11.51.3
11.910.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Third
87
#31
8.10.5
10.29.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
blue by 2.6
5490
#32
10.71.3
9.07.7
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed