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Red108
272016.2
540122.6
901517.5
Blue39
218016.1
48411.5
878.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57400208010010839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.2
19.520.7
Auto11.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
red by 6.5
2180
#20
16.10.1
17.617.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
9015
#15
17.51.2
15.516.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End0.2
red by 6.0
484
#19
11.50.1
10.610.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Third
2720
#13
16.21.2
14.615.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
red by 8.1
87
#31
8.10.1
9.79.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed