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Red66
540122.6
27224.7
87145.4
Blue55
741421.1
94169.8
566612.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584220801006655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#2
24.71.1
23.424.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End6.9
red by 3.6
7414
#10
21.11.0
16.017.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Second
22.61.1
20.721.8
Auto11.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
red by 10.0
5666
#33
12.61.0
13.514.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End0.3
Third
8714
#23
5.41.1
6.17.2
Auto3.3
Teleop0.8
End1.3
blue by 4.4
9416
#24
9.81.0
10.411.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed