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Red60
331433.7
549010.7
437319.2
Blue68
164024.7
218016.1
901517.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656560626364656667686068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.1
30.931.0
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End4.1
red by 8.9
1640
#11
24.70.6
24.124.7
Auto8.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
Second
4373
#22
19.20.1
18.618.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 1.7
9015
#15
17.50.6
16.717.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End0.2
Third
5490
#32
10.70.1
9.09.1
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7
blue by 5.4
2180
#20
16.10.6
17.718.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed