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Red72
741421.1
272016.2
201620.5
Blue54
437319.2
540122.6
17127.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605102040801001201407254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7414
#10
21.11.3
17.819.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.5
End1.1
blue by 1.5
22.60.5
21.522.0
Auto11.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Second
2016
#17
20.51.3
19.721.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.4
End2.3
red by 1.3
4373
#22
19.20.5
18.719.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Third
2720
#13
16.21.3
15.516.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
red by 9.1
1712
#28
7.00.5
6.67.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed