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Red91
20313.1
31629.3
27224.7
Blue100
331433.7
549010.7
741421.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74660204010012014016091100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
29.30.6
28.929.4
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
blue by 4.4
33.70.8
32.232.9
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Second
272
#2
24.70.6
24.324.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End6.9
red by 3.6
7414
#10
21.10.8
19.620.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Third
203
#27
13.10.6
12.713.2
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
red by 2.3
5490
#32
10.70.8
9.210.0
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7