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Red26
112615.5
947510.8
217215.7
Blue28
83938.7
69527.1
320128.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324910204060702628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#24
15.70.5
11.611.1
Auto7.8
Teleop6.1
End1.7
blue by 13.0
28.61.8
13.511.8
Auto14.0
Teleop11.8
End2.8
Second
1126
#13
15.50.5
10.19.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 11.6
695
#11
27.11.8
16.915.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
9475
#39
10.82.5
11.18.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End1.2
red by 2.1
8393
#29
8.71.8
11.79.9
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed