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Red50
265617.4
205316.6
155915.3
Blue52
83938.7
348415.1
261424.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374402060801001205052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2656
#22
17.41.3
9.811.0
Auto8.5
Teleop5.6
End3.2
blue by 7.3
2614
#33
24.71.4
15.817.2
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
2053
#21
16.61.3
11.713.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 1.4
3484
#41
15.11.4
13.615.0
Auto8.5
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Third
1559
#17
15.31.3
12.914.2
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End0.8
red by 6.5
8393
#29
8.71.4
9.911.3
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed