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Red62
350421.6
69527.1
261424.7
Blue75
37924.8
913914.1
225225.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65533040607080901001106275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#11
27.10.1
21.121.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 1.9
25.21.7
18.420.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Second
2614
#33
24.70.1
19.319.2
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
blue by 0.1
379
#4
24.81.7
17.719.4
Auto11.0
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Third
3504
#20
21.60.1
16.716.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.4
red by 7.5
9139
#15
14.11.7
13.315.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned