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Red76
263817.5
265617.4
178729.9
Blue36
913914.1
94156.3
415019.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66402060801007636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.6
27.629.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 10.3
4150
#18
19.60.4
16.316.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End2.8
Second
2638
#26
17.51.6
15.917.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 3.4
9139
#15
14.10.4
15.014.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
2656
#22
17.41.6
12.914.5
Auto8.5
Teleop5.6
End3.2
red by 11.1
9415
#49
6.30.4
7.97.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed