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Red27
414518.6
34927.2
83938.7
Blue55
263817.5
11715.4
170820.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416120801002755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#30
18.61.4
18.417.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 1.7
1708
#25
20.30.3
17.918.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
8393
#29
8.71.4
10.08.5
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 8.8
2638
#26
17.50.3
17.517.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
3492
#46
7.21.4
11.410.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
blue by 8.2
117
#36
15.40.3
17.117.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed