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Red70
412118.5
461126.2
37924.8
Blue44
83938.7
402722.6
155915.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6949204060801007044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.0
22.923.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 3.6
4027
#12
22.60.3
23.222.9
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Second
379
#4
24.81.0
20.721.7
Auto11.0
Teleop8.4
End5.5
red by 9.6
1559
#17
15.30.3
14.914.6
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Third
18.51.0
16.617.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
red by 9.8
8393
#29
8.70.3
8.58.3
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed