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Red64
402722.6
320128.6
112615.5
Blue56
239918.0
222817.9
683417.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775720401001206456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.1
28.728.6
Auto14.0
Teleop11.8
End2.8
red by 10.6
2399
#14
18.00.0
18.218.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.6
Second
4027
#12
22.60.1
22.622.5
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 4.7
2228
#31
17.90.0
18.118.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End4.0
Third
1126
#13
15.50.1
15.615.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 1.6
17.10.0
17.317.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6