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Red82
34019.2
14421.9
414518.6
Blue79
37924.8
201318.0
261424.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566740801008279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#10
21.90.6
19.319.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End1.0
blue by 2.9
379
#4
24.80.6
22.122.7
Auto11.0
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Second
340
#35
19.20.6
16.717.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 5.5
2614
#33
24.70.6
22.022.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Third
4145
#30
18.60.6
16.116.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 0.5
2013
#32
18.00.6
15.315.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.5