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Red95
902711.3
253930.9
589530.8
Blue84
34129.7
622613.7
116825.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79786570758590959584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
30.330.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End3.7
red by 1.2
341
#3
29.70.3
30.530.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.7
End2.2
Second
30.80.5
30.130.7
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End2.6
red by 5.7
25.10.3
25.725.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End-0.0
Third
9027
#26
11.30.5
10.711.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 2.4
6226
#16
13.70.3
14.314.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1