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Red30
622613.7
363715.3
20959.9
Blue47
518117.0
540114.8
2514.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364702060803047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#13
15.30.5
10.610.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 1.8
5181
#11
17.00.6
13.714.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Second
6226
#16
13.70.5
11.811.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 1.3
25
#17
14.90.6
16.216.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Third
2095
#28
9.90.5
11.911.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.8
blue by 4.9
5401
#22
14.80.6
11.512.1
Auto8.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed