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Red73
3035.3
260726.1
589530.8
Blue12
8169.6
622613.7
46375.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54270204060807312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.83.0
21.024.0
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End2.6
red by 17.1
6226
#16
13.71.8
11.39.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Second
26.13.0
18.421.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.0
End2.8
red by 16.5
816
#20
9.61.8
8.97.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Third
303
#32
5.33.0
6.29.2
Auto0.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 0.2
4637
#31
5.51.8
7.75.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed