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Red64
259023.6
363715.3
34129.7
Blue52
116825.1
139114.7
568420.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505030406070806452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#3
29.71.0
18.219.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.7
End2.2
red by 4.7
25.10.6
18.318.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End-0.0
Second
23.61.0
16.517.5
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End1.9
red by 2.9
20.60.6
13.914.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Third
3637
#13
15.31.0
10.111.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
red by 0.6
1391
#25
14.70.6
13.914.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed