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Red31
428522.6
139114.7
20959.9
Blue43
260726.1
42714.3
70813.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425410203050607080903143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.2
14.913.7
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End1.1
blue by 3.5
26.10.5
21.120.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Second
1391
#25
14.71.2
14.613.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 0.4
427
#10
14.30.5
11.010.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Third
2095
#28
9.91.2
10.29.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.8
blue by 3.6
708
#15
13.50.5
15.615.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed