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Red26
902711.3
140320.3
3035.3
Blue59
741411.3
116825.1
363715.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060802659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.4
18.016.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
blue by 4.8
25.12.4
18.921.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End-0.0
Second
9027
#26
11.31.4
10.89.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 4.0
3637
#13
15.32.4
11.013.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Third
303
#32
5.31.4
9.88.4
Auto0.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 6.0
7414
#14
11.32.4
7.59.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed