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Red39
568420.6
20959.9
3035.3
Blue21
22348.4
108914.9
902711.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393920253035455055603921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.3
17.818.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End2.2
red by 5.7
1089
#18
14.92.1
16.714.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Second
2095
#28
9.90.3
9.49.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.8
blue by 1.4
9027
#26
11.32.1
9.87.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Third
303
#32
5.30.3
8.99.2
Auto0.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 3.2
2234
#33
8.42.1
8.26.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed