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Red60
116825.1
589530.8
259023.6
Blue42
11435.7
518117.0
25599.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86310204060801001201406042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.3
26.325.0
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End2.6
red by 13.7
5181
#11
17.00.3
18.217.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Second
25.11.3
23.121.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End-0.0
red by 15.2
2559
#30
9.90.3
11.110.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Third
23.61.3
22.020.7
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End1.9
red by 17.9
1143
#27
5.70.3
5.35.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned